Will “AIPAC” be said at the next Political debates?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “AIPAC” was said at the Political debates on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 60% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

60%from settlement history only · n=4counts: anyone
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

AIPAC

Probability
60% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)

Next listing counts: anyone

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · settled no

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What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 21, 2026AIPACPolymarketYes
Oct 8, 2026AIPACKalshiNo
Jul 27, 2026AIPACKalshiYes
Jul 7, 2026AIPACKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “AIPAC” said at the Political debates?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “AIPAC” was said at the Political debates on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 7, 2026 (75%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability “AIPAC” is said at the Political debates next time?
60%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘AIPAC’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/aipac (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=aipac · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP