Will “AI / Artificial Intelligence” be said at the next Political debates?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said at the Political debates on 17 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2025 (63%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=27, from settlement history), not a forecast.

75%from settlement history only · n=27counts: any candidate
Last 10
10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 10 times
Counts
any candidate
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

AI / Artificial Intelligence

Probability
75% · n=27
Settled
17/27 (63%)

Next listing counts: any candidate

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · settled yes

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Every settled listing

newest first · 28 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 13, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Oct 8, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Oct 8, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Oct 7, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Oct 7, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Sep 30, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Aug 20, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Aug 3, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Aug 3, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Jul 28, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Jul 27, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jul 7, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Jun 17, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
May 14, 2026AI / Artificial Intelligence KalshiYes
Apr 28, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Apr 21, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Apr 1, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Feb 20, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Feb 18, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiNo
Jan 27, 2026AI / Artificial IntelligenceKalshiYes
Oct 22, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes
Oct 16, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo
Jun 12, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo
Jun 4, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketYes
Apr 17, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo
Apr 17, 2025AI / Artificial IntelligencePolymarketNo

Questions

How often is “AI / Artificial Intelligence” said at the Political debates?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “AI / Artificial Intelligence” was said at the Political debates on 17 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2025 (63%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability “AI / Artificial Intelligence” is said at the Political debates next time?
75%, from settlement history (n=27). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any candidate.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘AI / Artificial Intelligence’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/ai-or-artificial-intelligence (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=ai%20%2F%20artificial%20intelligence · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP