Will “Socialist / Socialism” be said at the next Political debates?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Socialist / Socialism” was said at the Political debates on 6 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=12, from settlement history), not a forecast.

50%from settlement history only · n=12counts: any candidate
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no no no no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
any candidate
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

Socialist / Socialism

Probability
50% · n=12
Settled
6/12 (50%)

Next listing counts: any candidate

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · settled no

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What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled no

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What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · settled no

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 12 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 13, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes
Oct 8, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes
Oct 8, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo
Aug 20, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo
Aug 3, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo
Aug 3, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo
Jul 28, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes
Jul 27, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes
Jul 7, 2026Socialist / SocialismKalshiNo
Jun 16, 2026Socialism / SocialistKalshiNo
Oct 23, 2025Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes
Oct 16, 2025Socialist / SocialismKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Socialist / Socialism” said at the Political debates?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Socialist / Socialism” was said at the Political debates on 6 of 12 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 16, 2025 (50%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Socialist / Socialism” is said at the Political debates next time?
50%, from settlement history (n=12). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any candidate.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Socialist / Socialism’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/socialism-or-socialist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=socialism%20%2F%20socialist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP