Will “Crypto / Bitcoin” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Crypto / Bitcoin” was not said at the Political debates on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 35% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Crypto / Bitcoin
- Probability
- 35% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2025 | Crypto / Bitcoin |  Polymarket | No |
| Jun 4, 2025 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Polymarket | No |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Crypto / Bitcoin | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often is “Crypto / Bitcoin” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Crypto / Bitcoin” was not said at the Political debates on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Apr 17, 2025.
- What is the probability “Crypto / Bitcoin” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 35%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Crypto / Bitcoin’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/bitcoin-or-crypto (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=bitcoin%20%2F%20crypto · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP