Will “Zohran / Mamdani” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Zohran / Mamdani” was not said at the Political debates on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 27% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- anyone
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Zohran / Mamdani
- Probability
- 27% · n=4
- Settled
- 0/4 (0%)
Next listing counts: anyone
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani |  Polymarket | No |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani |  Kalshi | No |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Kalshi | No |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Zohran / Mamdani | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Zohran / Mamdani” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Zohran / Mamdani” was not said at the Political debates on any of the 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jul 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “Zohran / Mamdani” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 27%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: anyone.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Zohran / Mamdani’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/mamdani-or-zohran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=mamdani%20%2F%20zohran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP