Will “Border” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Border” was said at the Political debates on 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 28, 2026 (71%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 71% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- any candidate
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Border
- Probability
- 71% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 7 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Border” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Border” was said at the Political debates on 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 28, 2026 (71%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Border” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 71%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/border (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=border · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP