Will “Trump” be said 8+ times at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 28, 2026, “Trump” was said 8+ times at the Political debates on 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 78% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- any candidate
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Trump (8+ times)
- Probability
- 78% · n=4
- Settled
- 4/4 (100%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | Trump (8+ times) |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Trump (8+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| May 14, 2026 | Trump (8+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Trump (8+ times) | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Trump (8+ times)” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 28, 2026, “Trump” was said 8+ times at the Political debates on 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 28, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026.
- What is the probability “Trump (8+ times)” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 78%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Trump (8+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 28, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/trump-8plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=trump%20%288%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP