Will “Corrupt / Corruption” be said at the next Political debates?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Corrupt / Corruption” was said at the Political debates on 12 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2025 (71%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.

63%from settlement history only · n=17counts: any candidate
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no yes yes yes yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
any candidate
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

Corrupt / Corruption

Probability
63% · n=17
Settled
12/17 (71%)

Next listing counts: any candidate

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · not listed

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What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · settled no

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What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · settled no

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What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled yes

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What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled no

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What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · settled no

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Every settled listing

newest first · 18 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 21, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 13, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Oct 8, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo
Oct 8, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo
Oct 7, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Oct 7, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Sep 30, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Aug 20, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Aug 3, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo
Aug 3, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo
Jul 27, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Jul 7, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
May 14, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Apr 21, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Apr 1, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Feb 18, 2026Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025Corrupt / CorruptionKalshiYes
Jun 4, 2025Corrupt / CorruptionPolymarketYes

Questions

How often is “Corrupt / Corruption” said at the Political debates?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Corrupt / Corruption” was said at the Political debates on 12 of 17 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Jun 4, 2025 (71%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
What is the probability “Corrupt / Corruption” is said at the Political debates next time?
63%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any candidate.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Corrupt / Corruption’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/corrupt-or-corruption (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=corrupt%20%2F%20corruption · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP