Will “Medicaid / Medicare” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Medicaid / Medicare” was said at the Political debates on 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 7, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 83% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 5 times
- Counts
- any candidate
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Medicaid / Medicare
- Probability
- 83% · n=5
- Settled
- 5/5 (100%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Medicaid / Medicare |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Medicaid / Medicare | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Medicaid / Medicare | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Medicaid / Medicare | Kalshi | Yes |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Medicaid / Medicare | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Medicaid / Medicare” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Medicaid / Medicare” was said at the Political debates on 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Oct 7, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 13, 2026.
- What is the probability “Medicaid / Medicare” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 83%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Medicaid / Medicare’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/medicaid-or-medicare (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=medicaid%20%2F%20medicare · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP