Will “Iran” be said at the next Political debates?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran” was said at the Political debates on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any candidate
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Political debates
Iran
- Probability
- 57% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
Next listing counts: any candidate
We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Iran” said at the Political debates?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Iran” was said at the Political debates on 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 18, 2026 (60%), most recently on Jul 7, 2026.
- What is the probability “Iran” is said at the Political debates next time?
- 57%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any candidate.
Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Iran’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/iran (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=iran · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP