Will “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” be said at the next Political debates?

As of Oct 27, 2026, “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” was said at the Political debates on 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 67% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

67%from settlement history only · n=8counts: any candidate
Last 10
6/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
any candidate
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=endorse%20%2F%20endorsed%20%2F%20endorsement

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement

Probability
67% · n=8
Settled
6/8 (75%)

Next listing counts: any candidate

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · settled no

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What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 8, 2026Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementKalshiNo
Aug 20, 2026Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementKalshiYes
Aug 3, 2026Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementKalshiYes
Aug 3, 2026Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementKalshiYes
Jul 28, 2026Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementKalshiYes
Jul 27, 2026Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementKalshiYes
Jul 7, 2026Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementKalshiYes
Jun 16, 2026Endorse / Endorsed / EndorsementKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” said at the Political debates?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” was said at the Political debates on 6 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 16, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 20, 2026.
What is the probability “Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement” is said at the Political debates next time?
67%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any candidate.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/endorse-or-endorsed-or-endorsement (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=endorse%20%2F%20endorsed%20%2F%20endorsement · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP