What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said at the Political debates next time?

86%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any candidate.

Will “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” be said at the next Political debates?

Name: Political debates: “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said at the Political debates on 8 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 86% (n=8, from settlement history), not a forecast.

86%from settlement history only · n=8counts: any candidate

Last 10: 8/8Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 8 times
Counts: any candidate

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 01:54 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Political debates

Oil / Gas / Gasoline

Probability: 86% · n=8
Settled: 8/8 (100%)

Next listing counts: any candidate

We don’t have transcripts for Political debates yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the candidates say during Iowa Governor debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Georgia Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Michigan Senate debate? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Pennsylvania Governor's Debate? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during Iowa Senate debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during California Governor Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the Massachusetts Democratic Senate Debate? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the candidates say during the SC Republican Senate Debate? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 8 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Oct 8, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
Oct 7, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
Aug 20, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
Aug 3, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
Jul 27, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
Jul 7, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
Jun 17, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes
Apr 21, 2026	Oil / Gas / Gasoline	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often is “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” said at the Political debates?: As of Oct 26, 2026, “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” was said at the Political debates on 8 of 8 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 8, 2026.
What is the probability “Oil / Gas / Gasoline” is said at the Political debates next time?: 86%, from settlement history (n=8). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: any candidate.

Cite parrot.markets, “Political debates: ‘Oil / Gas / Gasoline’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/political-debates/words/gas-or-gasoline-or-oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=political-debates&word=gas%20%2F%20gasoline%20%2F%20oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=political-debates&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP