Congressional hearings
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 777 word markets on the Congressional hearings series since 2025, on 378 different words; most reliably said: “National Security” (11 of 13).
History Wall
1–40 of 380, most settled first · page 1 of 5| Word | Jul 15hearing | Jul 17hearing | Jul 21hearing | Jul 22hearing | Jul 22hearing | Jul 24hearing | Jul 29hearing | Jul 30hearing | Aug 4hearing | Aug 5latest | Last 10 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 15 hearing | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 17 hearing | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 21 hearing | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 22 hearing | Settled yes: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 4 hearing | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Aug 5 hearing | 5/683% | 22/2781% | 73%n=27 from settlement history |
| Biden | Not listed: Biden, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jul 22 hearing | Settled yes: Biden, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Biden, Aug 5 hearing | 1/1100% | 12/2157% | 57%n=21 from settlement history |
| China / Chinese | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jul 17 hearing | Settled no: China / Chinese, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: China / Chinese, Jul 22 hearing | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jul 24 hearing | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jul 29 hearing | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Jul 30 hearing | Settled yes: China / Chinese, Aug 4 hearing | Settled no: China / Chinese, Aug 5 hearing | 5/862% | 12/1675% | 66%n=16 from settlement history |
| Trump | Not listed: Trump, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Jul 29 hearing | Settled no: Trump, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Trump, Aug 5 hearing | 0/10% | 7/1644% | 44%n=16 from settlement history |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 15 hearing | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 17 hearing | Settled no: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 22 hearing | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Terrorist / Terrorism, Aug 4 hearing | Settled yes: Terrorist / Terrorism, Aug 5 hearing | 3/475% | 9/1464% | 61%n=14 from settlement history |
| Trump3+ times | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 15 hearing | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jul 17 hearing | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 22 hearing | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jul 24 hearing | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Trump (3+ times), Jul 30 hearing | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Aug 4 hearing | Settled no: Trump (3+ times), Aug 5 hearing | 0/60% | 4/1429% | 32%n=14 from settlement history |
| National Security | Not listed: National Security, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: National Security, Jul 17 hearing | Settled yes: National Security, Jul 21 hearing | Settled yes: National Security, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: National Security, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: National Security, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: National Security, Jul 29 hearing | Settled yes: National Security, Jul 30 hearing | Settled no: National Security, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: National Security, Aug 5 hearing | 3/475% | 11/1385% | 75%n=13 from settlement history |
| Fraud | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 15 hearing | Settled yes: Fraud, Jul 17 hearing | Settled yes: Fraud, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Fraud, Jul 30 hearing | Settled yes: Fraud, Aug 4 hearing | Settled yes: Fraud, Aug 5 hearing | 4/4100% | 7/1354% | 59%n=13 from settlement history |
| Tariff | Settled yes: Tariff, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Tariff, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Tariff, Jul 21 hearing | Settled yes: Tariff, Jul 22 hearing | Settled no: Tariff, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Tariff, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Tariff, Jul 29 hearing | Settled no: Tariff, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Tariff, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Tariff, Aug 5 hearing | 2/450% | 6/1250% | 49%n=12 from settlement history |
| Border | Not listed: Border, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Border, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Border, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Border, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Border, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Border, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Border, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Border, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Border, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Border, Aug 5 hearing | – | 8/1173% | 62%n=11 from settlement history |
| Fentanyl | Settled no: Fentanyl, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Fentanyl, Aug 5 hearing | 0/10% | 4/1040% | 44%n=10 from settlement history |
| Taxpayer | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Taxpayer, Aug 5 hearing | – | 8/989% | 77%n=9 from settlement history |
| Taiwan | Settled no: Taiwan, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Taiwan, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Taiwan, Jul 21 hearing | Settled yes: Taiwan, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Taiwan, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Taiwan, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Taiwan, Jul 29 hearing | Settled no: Taiwan, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Taiwan, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Taiwan, Aug 5 hearing | 1/333% | 4/944% | 46%n=9 from settlement history |
| Whistleblower | Not listed: Whistleblower, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Whistleblower, Aug 5 hearing | – | 3/933% | 42%n=9 from settlement history |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 22 hearing | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 22 hearing | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 29 hearing | Settled no: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 30 hearing | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Aug 5 hearing | 2/450% | 5/862% | 57%n=8 from settlement history |
| Accountable / Accountability | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Accountable / Accountability, Aug 5 hearing | – | 6/786% | 68%n=7 from settlement history |
| Data Center | Not listed: Data Center, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Data Center, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Data Center, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Data Center, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Data Center, Jul 22 hearing | Settled no: Data Center, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Data Center, Jul 29 hearing | Settled yes: Data Center, Jul 30 hearing | Settled no: Data Center, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Data Center, Aug 5 hearing | 1/333% | 3/743% | 47%n=7 from settlement history |
| Mexico / Mexican | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Mexico / Mexican, Aug 5 hearing | – | 5/683% | 72%n=6 from settlement history |
| Mental Health | Not listed: Mental Health, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Mental Health, Aug 5 hearing | – | 3/650% | 50%n=6 from settlement history |
| DEI / Woke | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: DEI / Woke, Aug 5 hearing | – | 2/633% | 45%n=6 from settlement history |
| Russia / Russian | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 17 hearing | Settled no: Russia / Russian, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 22 hearing | Settled yes: Russia / Russian, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 24 hearing | Settled no: Russia / Russian, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Russia / Russian, Aug 5 hearing | 1/333% | 2/633% | 44%n=6 from settlement history |
| Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutionalevery time | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional, Aug 5 hearing | – | 5/5100% | 77%n=5 from settlement history |
| Billion | Not listed: Billion, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Billion, Aug 5 hearing | – | 4/580% | 65%n=5 from settlement history |
| Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 17 hearing | Settled yes: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 24 hearing | Settled yes: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin, Aug 5 hearing | 2/2100% | 4/580% | 69%n=5 from settlement history |
| ICE / DHS | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: ICE / DHS, Aug 5 hearing | – | 4/580% | 69%n=5 from settlement history |
| Medicare / Medicaid | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Medicare / Medicaid, Aug 5 hearing | – | 3/560% | 56%n=5 from settlement history |
| Privacy | Not listed: Privacy, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Privacy, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Privacy, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Privacy, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Privacy, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Privacy, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Privacy, Jul 29 hearing | Settled no: Privacy, Jul 30 hearing | Settled yes: Privacy, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Privacy, Aug 5 hearing | 1/250% | 3/560% | 57%n=5 from settlement history |
| Nuclear | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 22 hearing | Settled no: Nuclear, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Nuclear, Jul 29 hearing | Settled yes: Nuclear, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Nuclear, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Nuclear, Aug 5 hearing | 1/250% | 2/540% | 49%n=5 from settlement history |
| Walz | Not listed: Walz, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Walz, Aug 5 hearing | – | 2/540% | 46%n=5 from settlement history |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Election, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Election, Aug 4 hearing | Settled no: Election, Aug 5 hearing | 0/10% | 1/520% | 38%n=5 from settlement history |
| Social Media | Not listed: Social Media, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Social Media, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Social Media, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Social Media, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Social Media, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Social Media, Jul 24 hearing | Settled yes: Social Media, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Social Media, Jul 30 hearing | Settled no: Social Media, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Social Media, Aug 5 hearing | 1/250% | 1/520% | 38%n=5 from settlement history |
| Corrupt / Corruptionevery time | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Corrupt / Corruption, Aug 5 hearing | – | 4/4100% | 74%n=4 from settlement history |
| Crime / Criminalevery time | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Crime / Criminal, Aug 5 hearing | – | 4/4100% | 74%n=4 from settlement history |
| Democratevery time | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Democrat, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Democrat, Aug 4 hearing | Settled yes: Democrat, Aug 5 hearing | 1/1100% | 4/4100% | 77%n=4 from settlement history |
| Deport / Deported / Deportationevery time | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Deport / Deported / Deportation, Aug 5 hearing | – | 4/4100% | 75%n=4 from settlement history |
| Manufacture / Manufacturingevery time | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 22 hearing | Settled yes: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 29 hearing | Settled yes: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Manufacture / Manufacturing, Aug 5 hearing | 2/2100% | 4/4100% | 77%n=4 from settlement history |
| Safe / Safer / Safetyevery time | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Safe / Safer / Safety, Aug 5 hearing | – | 4/4100% | 76%n=4 from settlement history |
| Sanctuaryevery time | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Sanctuary, Aug 5 hearing | – | 4/4100% | 75%n=4 from settlement history |
| Covid / Pandemic | Settled yes: Covid / Pandemic, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Covid / Pandemic, Aug 5 hearing | 1/1100% | 3/475% | 66%n=4 from settlement history |
| Drone | Not listed: Drone, Jul 15 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Jul 17 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Jul 21 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Jul 22 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Jul 24 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Jul 29 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Jul 30 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Aug 4 hearing | Not listed: Drone, Aug 5 hearing | – | 3/475% | 62%n=4 from settlement history |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during Senate Muslim Brotherhood hearing? | no transcript | 16 | 6 yes · 10 no | – |
| Aug 4, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during Senate AI Surveillance hearing? | no transcript | 15 | 5 yes · 10 no | – |
| Jul 30, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing? | no transcript | 16 | 8 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jul 29, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing? | no transcript | 16 | 5 yes · 11 no | – |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing? | no transcript | 17 | 5 yes · 12 no | – |
| Jul 22, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during House Shipbuilding hearing? | no transcript | 16 | 12 yes · 4 no | – |
| Jul 22, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing? | no transcript | 18 | 14 yes · 4 no | – |
| Jul 21, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during House Oversight of Financial Crimes hearing? | no transcript | 17 | 8 yes · 9 no | – |
| Jul 17, 2026 | HearingWhat will witnesses say during House CLARITY Act hearing? | no transcript | 15 | 11 yes · 4 no | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during the hearing on Supply Chain Dependency? | no transcript | 17 | 11 yes · 6 no | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during Senate TRICARE Pharmacy hearing? | no transcript | 12 | 2 yes · 10 no | – |
| Jul 15, 2026 | HearingWhat will the witnesses say during the Senate Drug Supply Chain hearing? | no transcript | 13 | 8 yes · 5 no | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: mention market word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/congressional-hearings · words: /api/v1/history?entity=congressional-hearings · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP