What is the probability “Deport / Deported / Deportation” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?

75%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Will “Deport / Deported / Deportation” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

Name: Congressional hearings: “Deport / Deported / Deportation” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Deport / Deported / Deportation” was said at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.

75%from settlement history only · n=4counts: any witness

Last 10: 4/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes
Streak: said the last 4 times
Counts: any witness

Updated Oct 26, 2026, 10:21 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Deport / Deported / Deportation

Probability: 75% · n=4
Settled: 4/4 (100%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the witnesses say during Senate Muslim Brotherhood hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Surveillance hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House Shipbuilding hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House Oversight of Financial Crimes hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will witnesses say during House CLARITY Act hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during the Senate Drug Supply Chain hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Jun 30, 2026	Deport / Deported / Deportation	Kalshi	Yes
Mar 25, 2026	Deport / Deported / Deportation	Kalshi	Yes
Mar 10, 2026	Deport / Deported / Deportation	Kalshi	Yes
Mar 10, 2026	Deport / Deported / Deportation	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often is “Deport / Deported / Deportation” said at the Congressional hearings?: As of Oct 26, 2026, “Deport / Deported / Deportation” was said at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
What is the probability “Deport / Deported / Deportation” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?: 75%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Deport / Deported / Deportation’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/deport-or-deportation-or-deported (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=deport%20%2F%20deportation%20%2F%20deported · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP