Will “Covid / Pandemic” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Covid / Pandemic” was said at the Congressional hearings on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 24, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Covid / Pandemic
- Probability
- 66% · n=4
- Settled
- 3/4 (75%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Covid / Pandemic |  Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 15, 2026 | Covid / Pandemic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Covid / Pandemic | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Covid / Pandemic | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Covid / Pandemic” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Covid / Pandemic” was said at the Congressional hearings on 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 24, 2026 (75%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026.
- What is the probability “Covid / Pandemic” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 66%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Covid / Pandemic’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/covid-or-pandemic (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=covid%20%2F%20pandemic · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP