Will “Mental Health” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Mental Health” was said at the Congressional hearings on 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 16, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Mental Health
- Probability
- 49% · n=6
- Settled
- 3/6 (50%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2026 | Mental Health |  Kalshi | No |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | Yes |
| Apr 14, 2026 | Mental Health | Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often is “Mental Health” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, “Mental Health” was said at the Congressional hearings on 3 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 14, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jun 16, 2026.
- What is the probability “Mental Health” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Mental Health’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/mental-health (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=mental%20health · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP