Will “ICE / DHS” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / DHS” was said at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 3, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 69% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 4 times
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
ICE / DHS
- Probability
- 69% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “ICE / DHS” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “ICE / DHS” was said at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 3, 2026 (80%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “ICE / DHS” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 69%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘ICE / DHS’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/dhs-or-ice (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=dhs%20%2F%20ice · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP