Will “National Security” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “National Security” was said at the Congressional hearings on 11 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (85%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 75% (n=13, from settlement history), not a forecast.

75%from settlement history only · n=13counts: any witness
Last 10
9/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=national%20security

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

National Security

Probability
75% · n=13
Settled
11/13 (85%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the witnesses say during Senate Muslim Brotherhood hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Surveillance hearing? · settled no

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What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing? · settled yes

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What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House Shipbuilding hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House Oversight of Financial Crimes hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will witnesses say during House CLARITY Act hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during the Senate Drug Supply Chain hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 4, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo
Jul 30, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jul 22, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jul 21, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jul 15, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jul 1, 2026National SecurityKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Jun 25, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jun 17, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jun 11, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jun 4, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Jun 4, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Mar 7, 2026National SecurityKalshiYes
Feb 14, 2026National SecurityKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “National Security” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “National Security” was said at the Congressional hearings on 11 of 13 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (85%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026.
What is the probability “National Security” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
75%, from settlement history (n=13). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘National Security’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/national-security (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=national%20security · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP