Will “Biden” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Biden” was said at the Congressional hearings on 12 of 21 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (57%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 57% (n=21, from settlement history), not a forecast.

57%from settlement history only · n=21counts: any witness
Last 10
7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes yes yes no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=biden

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Biden

Probability
57% · n=21
Settled
12/21 (57%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 21 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 22, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jul 15, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Jul 15, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jun 12, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Jun 9, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Jun 9, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Mar 24, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Mar 11, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Mar 10, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Mar 7, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Mar 3, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Feb 14, 2026BidenKalshiYes
Feb 10, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Jan 14, 2026BidenKalshiNo
Jan 8, 2026BidenKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Biden” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Biden” was said at the Congressional hearings on 12 of 21 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (57%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
What is the probability “Biden” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
57%, from settlement history (n=21). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Biden’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/biden (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=biden · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP