Will “Billion” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Billion” was said at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (80%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 65% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Billion
- Probability
- 65% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often is “Billion” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Billion” was said at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (80%), most recently on Mar 10, 2026.
- What is the probability “Billion” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 65%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Billion’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/billion (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=billion · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP