Will “Fentanyl” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fentanyl” was said at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=10, from settlement history), not a forecast.

44%from settlement history only · n=10counts: any witness
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes yes no yes no yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=fentanyl

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Fentanyl

Probability
44% · n=10
Settled
4/10 (40%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 10 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 15, 2026FentanylKalshiNo
Jul 14, 2026FentanylKalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026FentanylKalshiYes
Jun 25, 2026FentanylKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026FentanylKalshiYes
Jun 17, 2026FentanylKalshiNo
Jun 9, 2026FentanylKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026FentanylKalshiYes
Mar 4, 2026FentanylKalshiNo
Feb 14, 2026FentanylKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Fentanyl” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Fentanyl” was said at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 10 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
What is the probability “Fentanyl” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=10). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Fentanyl’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/fentanyl (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=fentanyl · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP