Will “China / Chinese” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said at the Congressional hearings on 12 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 66% (n=16, from settlement history), not a forecast.

66%from settlement history only · n=16counts: any witness
Last 10
7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no yes yes yes yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
any witness
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=china%20%2F%20chinese

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

China / Chinese

Probability
66% · n=16
Settled
12/16 (75%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the witnesses say during Senate Muslim Brotherhood hearing? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Surveillance hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House Shipbuilding hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House Oversight of Financial Crimes hearing? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will witnesses say during House CLARITY Act hearing? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during the Senate Drug Supply Chain hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 17 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 5, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Aug 4, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jul 30, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jul 29, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jul 24, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jul 21, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jul 17, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jul 15, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jul 15, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jul 14, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jul 1, 2026China / ChineseKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Jun 24, 2026China / ChineseKalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jun 11, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Jun 4, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026China / ChineseKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “China / Chinese” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “China / Chinese” was said at the Congressional hearings on 12 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (75%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026.
What is the probability “China / Chinese” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
66%, from settlement history (n=16). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘China / Chinese’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/china-or-chinese (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=china%20%2F%20chinese · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP