Will “Nuclear” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear” was said at the Congressional hearings on 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 4, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceCongressional hearings
Nuclear
- Probability
- 49% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shownQuestions
- How often is “Nuclear” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, “Nuclear” was said at the Congressional hearings on 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 4, 2026 (40%), most recently on Jul 30, 2026.
- What is the probability “Nuclear” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 49%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Nuclear’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/nuclear (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=nuclear · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP