Will “Trump” be said 3+ times at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2026 (29%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

32%from settlement history only · n=14counts: any witness
Last 10
2/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no no no no no no
Streak
not said the last 6 times
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Trump (3+ times)

Probability
32% · n=14
Settled
4/14 (29%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the witnesses say during Senate Muslim Brotherhood hearing? · settled no

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What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Surveillance hearing? · settled no

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What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing? · settled no

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What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing? · settled no

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What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House Shipbuilding hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House Oversight of Financial Crimes hearing? · settled no

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What will witnesses say during House CLARITY Act hearing? · settled no

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What will the witnesses say during the Senate Drug Supply Chain hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 5, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Aug 4, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Jul 29, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Jul 24, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Jul 21, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Jul 17, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Jun 30, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Jun 24, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Jun 23, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes
Jun 16, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo
Jun 9, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiYes
Jun 4, 2026Trump (3+ times)KalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Trump (3+ times)” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said 3+ times at the Congressional hearings on 4 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jun 4, 2026 (29%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
What is the probability “Trump (3+ times)” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
32%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Trump (3+ times)’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/trump-3plus (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=trump%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP