Will “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” was said at the Congressional hearings on 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

77%from settlement history only · n=5counts: any witness
Last 10
5/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 5 times
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=constitution%20%2F%20constitutional%20%2F%20unconstitutional

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional

Probability
77% · n=5
Settled
5/5 (100%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Mar 25, 2026Constitution / Constitutional / UnconstitutionalKalshiYes
Mar 24, 2026Constitutional / Constitution / UnconstitutionalKalshiYes
Mar 18, 2026Constitution / Constitutional / UnconstitutionalKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026Constitution / Constitutional / UnconstitutionalKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026Constitution / Constitutional / UnconstitutionalKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” was said at the Congressional hearings on 5 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 10, 2026 (100%), most recently on Mar 25, 2026.
What is the probability “Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
77%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/constitution-or-constitutional-or-unconstitutional (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=constitution%20%2F%20constitutional%20%2F%20unconstitutional · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP