Will “Taxpayer” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Taxpayer” was said at the Congressional hearings on 8 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (89%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 77% (n=9, from settlement history), not a forecast.

77%from settlement history only · n=9counts: any witness
Last 10
8/9Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 5 times
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=taxpayer

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Taxpayer

Probability
77% · n=9
Settled
8/9 (89%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 9 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 15, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Mar 7, 2026TaxpayerKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Feb 10, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes
Jan 8, 2026TaxpayerKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Taxpayer” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Taxpayer” was said at the Congressional hearings on 8 of 9 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (89%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026.
What is the probability “Taxpayer” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
77%, from settlement history (n=9). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Taxpayer’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/taxpayer (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=taxpayer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP