Congressional hearings, Jul 15, 2026
Kalshi What will the witnesses say during Senate TRICARE Pharmacy hearing?
Markets
11 words · 2 settled yes- Kalshi: any witness Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Taxpayer | Yes | 76%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Audit / Audited | Yes | 70%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 75%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 68%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Biden | No | 64%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| GLP-1 / Ozempic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| TrumpRX | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | No | 50%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Whistleblower | No | 45%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 45%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 43%n=14 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL15C · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP