Will “Terrorist / Terrorism” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Terrorist / Terrorism” was said at the Congressional hearings on 9 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (64%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 61% (n=14, from settlement history), not a forecast.

61%from settlement history only · n=14counts: any witness
Last 10
6/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no yes yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist

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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Terrorist / Terrorism

Probability
61% · n=14
Settled
9/14 (64%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the witnesses say during Senate Muslim Brotherhood hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Surveillance hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing? · settled yes

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What will the witnesses say during House Shipbuilding hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House Oversight of Financial Crimes hearing? · settled no

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What will witnesses say during House CLARITY Act hearing? · settled yes

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What will the witnesses say during the Senate Drug Supply Chain hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 14 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 5, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Jul 22, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Jul 21, 2026Terrorism / TerroristKalshiNo
Jul 17, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Jun 24, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Jun 9, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Jun 4, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Mar 18, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Mar 4, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiNo
Feb 14, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Feb 10, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes
Jan 8, 2026Terrorist / TerrorismKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Terrorist / Terrorism” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Terrorist / Terrorism” was said at the Congressional hearings on 9 of 14 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (64%), most recently on Aug 5, 2026.
What is the probability “Terrorist / Terrorism” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
61%, from settlement history (n=14). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Terrorist / Terrorism’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/terrorism-or-terrorist (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=terrorism%20%2F%20terrorist · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP