Will “Russia / Russian” be said at the next Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Russia / Russian” was said at the Congressional hearings on 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=6, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- any witness
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Congressional hearings
Russia / Russian
- Probability
- 44% · n=6
- Settled
- 2/6 (33%)
Next listing counts: any witness
We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Russia / Russian |  Kalshi | No |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | Yes |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No |
| Mar 12, 2026 | Russia / Russian | Kalshi | No |
Questions
- How often is “Russia / Russian” said at the Congressional hearings?
- As of Oct 25, 2026, “Russia / Russian” was said at the Congressional hearings on 2 of 6 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
- What is the probability “Russia / Russian” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
- 44%, from settlement history (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: any witness.
Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Russia / Russian’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/russia-or-russian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=russia%20%2F%20russian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP