Will “Social Media” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 25, 2026, “Social Media” was said at the Congressional hearings on 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

38%from settlement history only · n=5counts: any witness
Last 10
1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
any witness
Export

Copy

API

Open as TSVfor agentsOpen as JSONcolumnar

GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=social%20media

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Social Media

Probability
38% · n=5
Settled
1/5 (20%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the witnesses say during Senate Muslim Brotherhood hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Surveillance hearing? · settled no

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House Shipbuilding hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House Oversight of Financial Crimes hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will witnesses say during House CLARITY Act hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during the Senate Drug Supply Chain hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Aug 4, 2026Social MediaKalshiNo
Jul 29, 2026Social MediaKalshiYes
Jul 14, 2026Social MediaKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026Social MediaKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Jun 25, 2026Social MediaKalshiNo
Mar 12, 2026Social MediaKalshiNo

Questions

How often is “Social Media” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 25, 2026, “Social Media” was said at the Congressional hearings on 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Mar 12, 2026 (20%), most recently on Jul 29, 2026.
What is the probability “Social Media” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
38%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Social Media’ mention history”, as of Oct 25, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/social-media (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=social%20media · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP