What is the probability “Border” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?

62%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.

Who has to say it for the market to count?

Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Will “Border” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

Name: Congressional hearings: “Border” mention history
Creator: parrot.markets
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

As of Oct 24, 2026, “Border” was said at the Congressional hearings on 8 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (73%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 62% (n=11, from settlement history), not a forecast.

62%from settlement history only · n=11counts: any witness

Last 10: 7/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no yes yes no yes no
Streak: not said last time
Counts: any witness

Updated Oct 24, 2026, 08:03 UTC

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Border

Probability: 62% · n=11
Settled: 8/11 (73%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

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Every settled listing

newest first · 11 shown

Every settled listing of this word, newest first
Date	Listed as	Venue	Result
Jul 15, 2026	Border	Kalshi	No
Jun 30, 2026	Border	Kalshi	Yes
Jun 25, 2026	Border	Kalshi	No
Jun 24, 2026	Border	Kalshi	Yes
Jun 9, 2026	Border	Kalshi	Yes
Mar 24, 2026	Border	Kalshi	No
Mar 18, 2026	Border	Kalshi	Yes
Mar 10, 2026	Border	Kalshi	Yes
Mar 7, 2026	Border	Kalshi	Yes
Mar 4, 2026	Border	Kalshi	Yes
Feb 14, 2026	Border	Kalshi	Yes

Questions

How often is “Border” said at the Congressional hearings?: As of Oct 24, 2026, “Border” was said at the Congressional hearings on 8 of 11 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Feb 14, 2026 (73%), most recently on Jun 30, 2026.
What is the probability “Border” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?: 62%, from settlement history (n=11). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?: Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Border’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/border (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=border · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP