Will “Trump” be said at the next Congressional hearings?

As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said at the Congressional hearings on 7 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (44%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 44% (n=16, from settlement history), not a forecast.

44%from settlement history only · n=16counts: any witness
Last 10
4/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no no no yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
any witness
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GET /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=trump

Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Congressional hearings

Trump

Probability
44% · n=16
Settled
7/16 (44%)

Next listing counts: any witness

We don’t have transcripts for Congressional hearings yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will the witnesses say during Senate Muslim Brotherhood hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Surveillance hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during Senate Artificial Intelligence hearing? · settled no

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What will the witnesses say during Senate AI Deception hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House AI Workforce hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House UN Accountability hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will the witnesses say during House Shipbuilding hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during House Oversight of Financial Crimes hearing? · not listed

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What will witnesses say during House CLARITY Act hearing? · not listed

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What will the witnesses say during the Senate Drug Supply Chain hearing? · not listed

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 17 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Jul 30, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jul 15, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jul 15, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jul 14, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jul 14, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jul 1, 2026TrumpKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Jun 23, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Apr 14, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Mar 24, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Mar 12, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Mar 3, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 26, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Feb 10, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Feb 4, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 23, 2026TrumpKalshiYes
Jan 14, 2026TrumpKalshiNo
Jan 8, 2026TrumpKalshiYes

Questions

How often is “Trump” said at the Congressional hearings?
As of Oct 26, 2026, “Trump” was said at the Congressional hearings on 7 of 16 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 8, 2026 (44%), most recently on Jul 15, 2026.
What is the probability “Trump” is said at the Congressional hearings next time?
44%, from settlement history (n=16). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: any witness.

Cite parrot.markets, “Congressional hearings: ‘Trump’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/congressional-hearings/words/trump (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=congressional-hearings&word=trump · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=congressional-hearings&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP