Will Donald Trump say “EV / Electric”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “EV / Electric” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (71%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=7, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 5/7Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
EV / Electric
- Probability
- 51% · n=7
- Settled
- 5/7 (71%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Every settled listing
newest first · 8 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 27, 2026 | EV / Electric |  Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Jul 24, 2026 | EV / Electric | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Jul 23, 2026 | EV / Electric | Kalshi | Yes | 10 |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Electric / EV | Kalshi | Void (did not qualify) | – |
| Jun 4, 2026 | EV / Electric | Kalshi | Yes | 4 |
| May 21, 2026 | EV / Electric | Kalshi | No | – |
| Feb 13, 2026 | EV / Electric | Kalshi | Yes | – |
| Dec 4, 2025 | EV / Electric | Kalshi | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “EV / Electric”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “EV / Electric” at 5 of 7 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Dec 4, 2025 (71%), most recently on Jul 27, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “EV / Electric” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=7). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘EV / Electric’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/electric-or-ev (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=electric%20%2F%20ev · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP