Will Donald Trump say “Obliterated / Obliteration”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Obliterated / Obliteration” at 8 of 17 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 7, 2025 (47%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 37% (n=17, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.
- Last 10
- 5/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes yes no yes yes yes no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 3 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Obliterated / Obliteration
- Probability
- 37% · n=17
- Settled
- 8/17 (47%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…to a nuclear weapon for Iran. It was a horrible deal. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer. You remember that? Late…
…to a the number one state sponsor of terror Iran so we obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with operation midnight hammer and operation epic fuel…
…Iran. I terminated that was a road to a nuclear weapon. We obliterated Iran's nuclear enrichment capacity with Operation Midnight Hammer, a beautiful operation, and…
…refused. They absolutely refused. That was a big mistake Then in Operation Midnight Hammer, the U.S. military obliterated their nuclear program beneath mountains of rubble.
Every settled listing
newest first · 17 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| May 1, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 6, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | No | – |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | No | – |
| Feb 5, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 22, 2026 | Obliteration / Obliterated | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | No | – |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
| Dec 24, 2025 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | No | – |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | Yes | – |
| Aug 7, 2025 | Obliterated / Obliteration | Polymarket | No | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Obliterated / Obliteration”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Obliterated / Obliteration” at 8 of 17 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Aug 7, 2025 (47%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Obliterated / Obliteration” next time?
- 37%, from settlement history (n=17). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Obliterated / Obliteration’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/obliterated-or-obliteration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=obliterated%20%2F%20obliteration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP