Will Donald Trump say “Medal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Medal” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 13, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 48% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Medal
- Probability
- 48% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…boxing in the whole thing last time and they both won gold medals. Shockingly, they both won gold medals. But men from playing in women's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
PolymarketQuestions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Medal”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Medal” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Feb 13, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Medal” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Medal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/medal (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=medal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP