Will Donald Trump say “Hell” 4+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hell” 4+ times at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025 (25%), most recently on Dec 2, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=4, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (4+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Hell 4+ times
- Probability
- 38% · n=4
- Settled
- 1/4 (25%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…"Thank you very much, everybody." And I left. I said, "Who the hell was that guy?" And that's where it began, right? That's where it…
…know, I shouldn't say I shouldn't break, should I? Yeah. What the hell difference? Which I won all three times, receiving more votes than any…
…National Cyber Director Sean Camon -- where are you, Sean? Where the hell is you? I got to get this name so perfect -- Cairncross.…
…It would be a disaster. She's a fanatical transgender activist. How the hell do you run in South Carolina? Am I in a different state?…
…talking about some -- you got to remove people, get them the hell out, or they're not going to have a -- they're not going…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | Hell 4+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Jan 29, 2026 | Hell 4+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Dec 2, 2025 | Hell 4+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 28, 2025 | Hell 4+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Hell 4+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Hell” 4+ times at 1 of 4 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Oct 28, 2025 (25%), most recently on Dec 2, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Hell 4+ times” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Hell 4+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/hell-4plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=hell%20%284%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP