# Donald Trump (donald-trump) · remarks 2026-05-07 · 44 words · K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY07 · P p:what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-brazilian-president · as_of 2026-10-24T13:53:37Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-07 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-20 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1 · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXTRUMPMENTION-26MAY07 ({word} = w of K rows): If Donald Trump says {word} as part of Bilateral Meetings with the President of the Federative Republic of Brazil , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-trump-say-during-bilateral-events-with-brazilian-president (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring the Brazilian President on May 7, 2026.
# rows 1-35 of 44 by p · more: offset=35 (limit=0 lists all)
w	key	v	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Venezuela	venezuela	K	27	19	0.7	nYYYYYYYYY	1	1	0.66	hist	void
Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline	K	28	19	0.68	nYYYnYYYYn	1	1	0.6	hist	void
Democrat	democrat	K	133	91	0.68	nYYYYYYYYn	1	1	0.57	hist	void
Tariff	tariff	K	167	108	0.65	YYnYnnYYYn	1	1	0.57	hist	void
Mexico	mexico	K	15	12	0.8	nYYYnYYYYY	1	1	0.55	hist	void
Biden	biden	K	240	164	0.68	YnnYnYYYYn	1	1	0.55	hist	void
Election	election	K	85	51	0.6	YYYYnnYnnY	1	1	0.55	hist	void
Border	border	K	103	64	0.62	nYYnYYYYnY	1	1	0.54	hist	void
China	china	KP	152	96	0.63	nYnnYnYYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	void
Oil	oil	K	71	39	0.55	YYYYYYnYYY	1	1	0.52	hist	void
Iran	iran	K	98	63	0.64	nnYnnYnYYY	1	1	0.51	hist	void
Pelé	pele	P	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.5	hist	no
Transgender	transgender	K	112	63	0.56	nnnYnYYnYn	1	1	0.5	hist	void
First Term	first term	K	6	4	0.67	nYnYYY	1	1	0.47	hist	void
Six Seven	six seven	P	18	7	0.39	nnnYnnYYYY	1	0	0.47	hist	no
Hottest	hottest	K	216	115	0.53	nnYnYYYYYY	1	1	0.45	hist	void
Stock Market	stock market	K	69	38	0.55	nYnYnnYYYn	1	1	0.44	hist	void
Fentanyl	fentanyl	K	31	9	0.29	YnnnYnnnYY	1	1	0.43	hist	void
Beach / Pool	beach|pool	P	0	0			1	1	0.43	hist	no
Teleprompter	teleprompter	P	4	2	0.5	nYnY	1	0	0.42	hist	no
World Cup	world cup	KP	18	9	0.5	YYnYYnnnnY	1	0	0.41	hist	void
Delcy / Rodriguez	delcy|rodriguez	P	6	2	0.33	nYYnnn	1	0	0.41	hist	no
My father	my father	P	0	0			1	0	0.41	hist	no
River	river	P	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.39	hist	no
Sea / Water	sea|water	P	0	0			1	1	0.38	hist	no
Argentina	argentina	K	8	2	0.25	nnnnYYnn	1	0	0.37	hist	void
Clown	clown	P	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.37	hist	no
Tren de Aragua	tren de aragua	P	13	7	0.54	YYYnYnnYnn	1	1	0.36	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	K	141	55	0.39	nnYYYnnYnn	1	1	0.36	hist	void
Nobel / Prize	nobel|prize	P	4	1	0.25	nYnn	1	1	0.36	hist	no
BRICS	bric	P	5	1	0.2	nnYnn	1	0	0.36	hist	no
Bolsonaro	bolsonaro	P	2	0	0	nn	1	0	0.35	hist	no
Maduro	maduro	KP	57	25	0.44	YYYnYYYnYY	1	1	0.33	hist	void
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	KP	30	11	0.37	YnnYYnnnnn	1	1	0.33	hist	void
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	K	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.33	hist	void