Will Donald Trump say “Sea / Water”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Sea / Water” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 7, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 21, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Sea / Water
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…sailed. But no, but sail is so nice. She sailed the seven seas and she arrived in our country. And the first thing she did…
…now they're at the lowest level coming in through Mexico but by water a lot of them were coming in by water down 97% and…
…we brought the flow of deadly drugs coming in by ocean and sea down by 97. 97. And don't feel bad when you see that.…
…ships of their navy are now lying at the bottom of the sea. Likewise, their air force is gone. Their radar is gone, their anti-aircraft…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | Sea / Water |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Sea / Water”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Sea / Water” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on May 7, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Sea / Water” next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Sea / Water’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/sea-or-water (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=sea%20%2F%20water · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP