Will Donald Trump say “Schumer”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Schumer” at 9 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 5, 2025 (33%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 51% (n=27, from settlement history), not a forecast.

Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

51%from settlement history only · n=27counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 3 times
Counts
named speaker only
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Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Schumer

Probability
51% · n=27
Settled
9/27 (33%)
Last 6 speeches
said in 1 of 6

Next listing counts: named speaker only

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What will Trump say this week? (October 12 - October 18) · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 27 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 10, 2026SchumerKalshiYes0 ✗ (our count disagrees with the settlement)
Aug 11, 2026SchumerKalshiYes–
Apr 30, 2026SchumerPolymarketYes– (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet))
Feb 24, 2026SchumerPolymarketNo–
Feb 24, 2026SchumerKalshiNo–
Feb 4, 2026SchumerKalshiNo–
Jan 29, 2026SchumerPolymarketNo–
Nov 13, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Nov 13, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Nov 12, 2025SchumerPolymarketNo–
Nov 11, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Nov 7, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Nov 6, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Nov 3, 2025SchumerKalshiYes–
Oct 24, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Oct 23, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Oct 22, 2025SchumerKalshiYes–
Oct 22, 2025SchumerKalshiYes–
Oct 21, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Oct 21, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Oct 17, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Oct 16, 2025SchumerKalshiYes–
Oct 15, 2025SchumerKalshiYes–
Oct 11, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–
Oct 10, 2025SchumerKalshiYes–
Oct 5, 2025SchumerKalshiNo–

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Schumer”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Schumer” at 9 of 27 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Oct 5, 2025 (33%), most recently on Sep 10, 2026.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Schumer” next time?
51%, from settlement history (n=27). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Schumer’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/schumer (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=schumer · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP