Donald Trump: Weekly window, Feb 1, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week (February 1)?
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: Jan 26, 2026 to Feb 1, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
23 words · 11 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cookie | Yes | – | 0 | 64%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Minnesota | Yes | – | 0 | 58%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Television / TV | Yes | – | 0 | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Football | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| No No No | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Store | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Wall Street | Yes | – | 0 | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| MIT / Massachusetts Institute of Technology | Yes | – | 0 | 50%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Central Casting | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| World Peace | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Six Seven | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Eisenhower | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mentally Ill | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Migrant Crime | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Romania | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| San Antonio | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Massie | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nobel / Peace Prize | No | – | 0 | 50%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Cocaine / Kingpin | No | – | 0 | 48%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Midterm Election | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Dog / Doggy | No | – | 0 | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Antifa | No | – | 0 | 40%n=10 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | No | – | 0 | 34%n=10 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-february-1 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP