Donald Trump: Appearance, Feb 19, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say in Rome, GA on February 19?
Markets
23 words · 12 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| No No No | Yes | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hell 5+ times | Yes | 52%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| Fake News / CNN | Yes | 51%n=59 from settlement history | – |
| China 5+ times | Yes | 47%n=22 from settlement history | – |
| Biden / Obama 5+ times | Yes | 46%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 20+ times | Yes | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Egg / Bean | Yes | 45%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Fulton County | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inherited a Mess | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| America First | Yes | 38%n=21 from settlement history | – |
| Job 15+ times | Yes | 36%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Congress / House | Yes | 35%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Democrat Shutdown | No | 49%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Taylor / Brown | No | 47%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Abrams / Hawk | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Traitor | No | 42%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Crypto | No | 41%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Constitution | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| America / American 30+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Defund | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Battery | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| National Guard | No | 36%n=28 from settlement history | – |
| Alien 3+ times | open | – | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-in-rome-ga-on-february-19 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP