Donald Trump: Weekly window, May 31, 2026
Polymarket What will Trump say this week? (May 31)
Coverage
0 known appearancesno known appearances yet Window: May 25, 2026 to May 31, 2026. Counts: spoken only (posts do not count). 0 own posts by @realDonaldTrump.
Markets
27 words · 13 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
Counts marked ≥ are lower bounds: not every appearance in this window is transcribed yet, so a word may have been said more often.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York | Yes | – | 0 | 63%n=37 from settlement history | – |
| Polling | Yes | – | 0 | 58%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Dumbocrat / Dumocrat / Dumacrat | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Table | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Star | Yes | – | 0 | 54%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Bahrain | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Danger | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Generation | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Memory | Yes | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Warrior | Yes | – | 0 | 51%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Oman | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Sacrifice | Yes | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| UFC | Yes | – | 0 | 43%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Make America Great Again | No | – | 0 | 72%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Kevin / Warsh | No | – | 0 | 57%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Six Seven | No | – | 0 | 56%n=30 from settlement history | – |
| Uber | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Damn | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Interest rate | No | – | 0 | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO | No | – | 0 | 49%n=73 from settlement history | – |
| CIA | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuke | No | – | 0 | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| No No No | No | – | 0 | 41%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Coward | No | – | 0 | 38%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Traitor | No | – | 0 | 33%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Peanut | No | – | 0 | 29%n=19 from settlement history | – |
| Uranium | No | – | 0 | 27%n=13 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-this-week-may-31-963 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP