Will Donald Trump say “Border” 30+ times?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Border” 30+ times at 4 of 27 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 27, 2024 (15%), most recently on Oct 22, 2024. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 47% (n=27, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 10, 2026 – Oct 23, 2026), it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Border 30+ times
- Probability
- 47% · n=27
- Settled
- 4/27 (15%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…He wants to take away your guns. He wants to open the borders. He wants to have transgender for everybody. It's a guy who's gone.…
…in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across our borders from all over the world. It was an invasion. That was like…
…mean, at the War Department, we've done the same on the southwest border with our interagency partners on law enforcement in cities all across America…
…it's a big reason. Take away your second amendment. Wants to open your borders. Wants to do so many things that you're just not going
…just such a big part of the country is corrupt. We need borders, we need good elections, we need great journalists and we have to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 27 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024 | Border 30+ times |  Polymarket | No |
| Nov 4, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 30, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 29, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 28, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 22, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 11, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 9, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 4, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | Yes |
| Sep 27, 2024 | Border 30+ times | Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Border 30+ times”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Donald Trump said “Border” 30+ times at 4 of 27 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 27, 2024 (15%), most recently on Oct 22, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Border 30+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=27). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Border 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/border-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=border%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP