Donald Trump: Rally, Oct 28, 2024
Polymarket What will Trump say during Atlanta, Georgia rally?
Markets
19 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elon | Yes | 73%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Border 20+ times | Yes | 66%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Kamala 20+ times | Yes | 61%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Fascist | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tariff | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hitler | Yes | 36%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Putin | No | 60%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Vote 15+ times | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Build the wall | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Catholic | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Garbage can | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Illegal alien 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| No income tax | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rapist | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Comrade Kamala | No | 44%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| China 10+ times | No | 43%n=17 from settlement history | – |
| Rogan | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Border 30+ times | No | 33%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Crypto/Bitcoin | No | 5%n=36 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-trump-say-during-georgia-rally-oct-28 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP