Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 12, 2026
In remarks on Jan 12, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 7 of the 19 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 16 of 19 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
19 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 16 of 19
Kalshibacktest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 4 | 6 | ✓ | 52%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | 2 | 2 | ✗ | 68%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 38%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Free Bus / Fast & Free | Yes | 1 | 2 | ✓ | 24%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 0 | 4 | ✗ | 48%n=11 from settlement history | – |
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 22%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Rent / Rental | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Queens | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | 45%n=8 from settlement history | – |
| Israel / Hamas | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Brave / Bravery | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Landlord | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nurse | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Working People / Working Class | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=12 from settlement history | – |
| Muslim | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Healthcare / Nurse | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Kathy / Hochul | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 26%n=6 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…don't want our efforts to be limited solely to making New York affordable for those making the arts. We also want to make New York…
…our streets. And when the youngest talents who already call this city home, making their first projects in playgrounds and public parks, know that their…
…residents, we lose our culture. And as a proud son of Dominican immigrants born and raised in Brooklyn, being able to marry my work with…
I think that this is part of the many questions that we are looking at when it comes to the Department of Community Safety.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-12:remarks-2c2e11 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-12:remarks-2c2e11 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP