Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Feb 3, 2026
In remarks on Feb 3, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 7 of the 20 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 18 of 20 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
20 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 18 of 20- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 11 | 15 | ✓ | 64%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Five Borough | Yes | 5 | 5 | ✓ | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Yes | 5 | 9 | ✓ | 32%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| NYPD | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 32%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 80%n=25 from settlement history | – |
| Trash / Garbage | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Homeless / Homelessness | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 33%n=33 from settlement history | – |
| Trump | No | 1 | 2 | ✗ | 21%n=26 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 51%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Freeze / Freezing | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 45%n=5 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 38%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| 2% | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Con Edison | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | 34%n=20 from settlement history | – |
| Accountable / Accountability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 24%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| Millionaire / Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Taxpayer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 19%n=4 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…and homeless New Yorkers in from the cold. We have now made more than 980 placements into shelters and safe havens since Monday the 19th.
…clock. They have melted more than a 150 million pounds of snow across our five boroughs and laid more than 200 million pounds of salt.
…in a city where a dignified life is already hard enough to afford, where the cost of rent and childcare and transit feel insurmountable to…
…someone in need, please call 311. Outreach workers and first responders from NYPD and FDNY will respond and get those New Yorkers, the help that…
…the patient leaves the clinic. We know that health happens in their home, in their grocery stores and also in their bank accounts. Financial stress…
…at the curb. New Yorkers will be able to expect that their trash will be picked up on their scheduled collection day. We are one…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-02-03:remarks-f87511 · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-02-03:remarks-f87511 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP