Zohran Mamdani: Remarks, Jan 31, 2026
In remarks on Jan 31, 2026, Zohran Mamdani said 3 of the 14 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 13 of 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
14 words · 3 settled yes · our count agreed on 13 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Safe / Safer / Safety | Yes | 5 | 12 | ✓ | 60%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Home / Housing | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 78%n=23 from settlement history | – |
| Cleanup / Clean Up | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 17%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 37%n=13 from settlement history | – |
| Budget / Deficit | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 63%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Adams / Previous Administration | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 52%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Hochul / Governor | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 39%n=18 from settlement history | – |
| Accountable / Accountability | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | 30%n=4 from settlement history | – |
| Economy / Economic | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 30%n=31 from settlement history | – |
| Millionaire / Billionaire | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Savings Officer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Taxpayer | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=24 from settlement history | – |
| Fraud | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 23%n=2 from settlement history | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:05 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · Office of the Mayor of the City of New York (nyc.gov) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
Where the listed words were said
…vital work of supporting New Yorkers, preparing the next generation, and ensuring that each of our neighbors can live lives of dignity and of safety.
…ensure that every child in this city can imagine a future of health, of joy, and of possibility in the place that they call home.
…workers who are working each 12-hour shift, we now have more than 1,200 additional workers who will be assisting in the cleanups of this city.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/zohran-mamdani:2026-01-31:remarks-f5fa8e · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=zohran-mamdani:2026-01-31:remarks-f5fa8e · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP