Congressional hearings, Jan 8, 2026
Kalshi What will the Minnesota Reps say during the House Committee on Oversight hearing?
Markets
18 words · 12 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Biden | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Billion | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Islamophobia | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Racist / Racism | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shirley | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Taxpayer | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Terrorist / Terrorism | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walz | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Whistleblower | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Elon / DOGE | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Migrant | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Learing | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| YouTube / YouTuber | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXCONGRESSMENTION-26JAN08 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP