Congressional hearings, Jun 12, 2026
Kalshi What will the witnesses say during the House Committee on Veteran Affairs hearing?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: any witness Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rural | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Security / Cybersecurity | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Emergency | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| MISSION Act | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Oracle | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Travel / Transportation | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Biden | Yes | 55%n=15 from settlement history | – |
| Insurance | Yes | 53%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Accountable / Accountability | No | 81%n=6 from settlement history | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 80%n=9 from settlement history | – |
| Medicare / Medicaid | No | 58%n=3 from settlement history | – |
| Department of War | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXHEARINGMENTION-26JUN12 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP