Will Bernie Sanders say “Elon / Musk”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Elon / Musk” at 34 of 38 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (89%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 87% (n=38, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 10 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceBernie Sanders
Elon / Musk
- Probability
- 87% · n=38
- Settled
- 34/38 (89%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 43 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 19, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Void (did not qualify) | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 5, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| May 25, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| May 25, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| May 24, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| May 24, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| May 3, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| May 3, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| May 2, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| May 1, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Apr 29, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Mar 5, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Feb 19, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Jan 20, 2026 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Jan 2, 2026 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Elon / Musk | No | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Yes | |
| Aug 8, 2025 | Elon / Musk | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Bernie Sanders say “Elon / Musk”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Elon / Musk” at 34 of 38 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (89%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
- What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Elon / Musk” next time?
- 87%, from settlement history (n=38). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP