Will Bernie Sanders say “Elon / Musk”?

As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Elon / Musk” at 34 of 38 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (89%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 87% (n=38, from settlement history), not a forecast.

87%from settlement history only · n=38counts: named speaker only
Last 10
10/10Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes yes
Streak
said the last 10 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Bernie Sanders

Elon / Musk

Probability
87% · n=38
Settled
34/38 (89%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Bernie Sanders yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Bernie say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Wisconsin? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Duluth? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Houston? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in El Paso? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Amarillo? · not listed

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Tallahassee? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Gainesville? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Melbourne? · settled yes

Open the appearance

What will Bernie say during his rally in Tampa? · settled yes

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 43 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 20, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 19, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiVoid (did not qualify)
Oct 18, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 18, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 17, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 5, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 4, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 3, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Aug 29, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Jun 8, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
May 25, 2026Elon / MuskPolymarketYes
May 25, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
May 24, 2026Elon / MuskPolymarketYes
May 24, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
May 3, 2026Elon / MuskPolymarketYes
May 3, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
May 2, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
May 1, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Apr 29, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Apr 20, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Apr 12, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Mar 29, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Mar 28, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Mar 25, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Mar 10, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Mar 5, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Feb 19, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Feb 14, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Feb 13, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Feb 11, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Jan 21, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Jan 20, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Jan 2, 2026Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Dec 5, 2025Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Dec 3, 2025Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Oct 27, 2025Elon / MuskKalshiNo
Oct 16, 2025Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Aug 24, 2025Elon / MuskPolymarketYes
Aug 22, 2025Elon / MuskKalshiYes
Aug 8, 2025Elon / MuskPolymarketYes
Aug 8, 2025Elon / MuskKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Bernie Sanders say “Elon / Musk”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Bernie Sanders said “Elon / Musk” at 34 of 38 occasions with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 8, 2025 (89%), most recently on Oct 20, 2026.
What is the probability Bernie Sanders says “Elon / Musk” next time?
87%, from settlement history (n=38). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Bernie Sanders: ‘Elon / Musk’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/bernie-sanders/words/elon-or-musk (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=bernie-sanders&word=elon%20%2F%20musk · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=bernie-sanders&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP